The possibility of Comcast acquiring ITV has sparked worries about the effect on British public service broadcasting, a reality that Channel 4’s new CEO, who previously held a key role at Sky, will be keenly aware of.
Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to lead the charge to block her ex-company's acquisition bid to protect Channel 4.
The potential union of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a relative commercial minnow in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving debate of the need to re-examine some form of tie-up with the BBC for future viability.
However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news output that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.
The shock revelation last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, makes commercial sense. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn takeover of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of self-rule, is laden with regulatory, political, and competition concerns.
Immediately, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the majority shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be deeply engaged in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.
“If a deal goes through, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will focus minds politically,” comments one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that obligation draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to wholly support Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to make losses of as much as £80m.
It is understood that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.
“There are definitely questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast appreciate ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously highlighted the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the landscape of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK must have its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that compels them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get approved,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a diminished BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a structural funding problem,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just postponing the problem. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”
The evolving situation highlights a wider dilemma for British media: how to safeguard a independent voice and a diverse public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
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